Proven winners at the foot of a handicap chase

Hard front-end race on soft ground

Raced on the front end on soft or heavy ground last time, was ridden and then headed or weakened. A hard race that seems to leave a mark.

With it82 bets · 13.4% won · 1.12 v market · 30.0% at SP · 61.1% at Betfair SP

Without1,696 bets · 15.2% won · 1.06 v market · -9.3% at SP · 8.7% at Betfair SP

Failed comeback after a year off

Failed to finish last time on its first run for a year or more.

With it9 bets · 0.0% won · 0.00 v market · -100.0% at SP · -100.0% at Betfair SP

Without1,769 bets · 15.1% won · 1.07 v market · -7.0% at SP · 11.7% at Betfair SP

Repeat slow startscontextual

Missed the break in two or more of its last three runs.

With itno selections

Without1,778 bets · 15.1% won · 1.07 v market · -7.4% at SP · 11.1% at Betfair SP

Eye-catcher last timecontextual

Beaten last time with a visible excuse: finished strongly, travelled well, or met trouble and finished close up. Everyone saw it, so the price already allows for it.

With it109 bets · 20.2% won · 1.03 v market · -12.9% at SP · -1.8% at Betfair SP

Without1,669 bets · 14.7% won · 1.07 v market · -7.1% at SP · 12.0% at Betfair SP