FS4: veterans strong finish

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   FS4: veterans strong finish KILLED red

   because A LOOK ONLY: FS1 inside veterans' races.

   race_type = 'Chase' AND age >= 10 AND last_race_type = 'Chase' AND l_same_code = 1 AND last_position IS NOT NULL AND l_fsp_pct IS NOT NULL AND l_fsp_pct >= 0.67 AND lower(race_name) LIKE '%veteran%'

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 0.65 on 41 bets. info

   Betfair SP return -14.0%. Zone: all. On FS4: veterans strong finish

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half34–

   Later half7–

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   FS4: veterans strong finish Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 0.653 on 41 bets