Threads · trainer · H07-yard-in-form
H07: yard in form
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.003 on 106741 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H07: yard in form KILLED red
because The yard's runners have beaten the market by 30%+ over the last 30 days (15+ runners): it is firing now.
t30_runs >= 15 AND t30_wins >= 1.3 * t30_exp
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.00 on 106,741 bets, by period 1.01 · 1.00 · 0.98. info
Betfair SP return -2.7%. Unstable: periods range 0.98 to 1.01. Zone: all. On H07: yard in form
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-2244,3471.012023 to a year ago46,1921.00Last year16,2020.98Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H07: yard in form Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.003 on 106741 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
The yard's runners have beaten the market by 30%+ over the last 30 days (15+ runners): it is firing now.