Threads · season-ireland · H228-dual-purpose-horse-in-an-irish-summer-flat-handicap
H228: dual purpose horse in an irish summer flat handicap
- Hypotheses
- 10 (2 alive)
- Depth
- 2
- Best rung
- Live
- Open questions
- 3
- Last activity
- 17 Oct, 03:42
Where it stands: fails: 256 bets, needs 300; A/E 0.981, needs 0.95 or lower; p 0.5276 (lower tail), needs 0.05; periods [0.98], each needs 0.99 or lower; A/E 0.981 against same-race control 1.011, needs 0.03 below
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H228: dual purpose horse in an irish summer flat handicap PROMISING green
because Ireland, June to September, a Flat handicap over 12f or more: a horse with three or more hurdle runs. The summer festivals are built round dual-purpose horses whose Flat marks lag behind what they have done over hurdles.
region = 'IRE' AND race_type = 'Flat' AND is_handicap = 1 AND month BETWEEN 6 AND 9 AND distance_yards >= 2640 AND hurdle_runs >= 3
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.05.
Where it started
Ireland, June to September, a Flat handicap over 12f or more: a horse with three or more hurdle runs. The summer festivals are built round dual-purpose horses whose Flat marks lag behind what they have done over hurdles.