H68: course likes from galloping

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   H68: course likes from galloping KILLED red

   because Last ran at a galloping track at a course where such runners have beaten the market by 25%+ before. As above, from the other kind of track.

   cp_from_galloping_runs >= 60 AND cp_from_galloping_wins >= 1.25 * cp_from_galloping_exp

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.00 on 1,832 bets, by period 1.00 · 0.82. info

   Unstable: periods range 0.82 to 1.00. Zone: all. On H68: course likes from galloping

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   2020-221,7841.00

   2023 to a year ago480.82

   Last year0–

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   H68: course likes from galloping Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 0.996 on 1832 bets (broad RED)