Threads · collateral · H89-the-form-has-worked-out
H89: the form has worked out
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.014 on 59007 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H89: the form has worked out KILLED red
because Two or more rivals from its last race have won since. The race was better than it looked at the time.
hot_wins >= 2 AND (last_position IS NULL OR last_position > 1)
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.01 on 59,007 bets, by period 1.01 · 1.02 · 1.00. info
Betfair SP return -4.6%. Unstable: periods range 1.00 to 1.02. Zone: all. On H89: the form has worked out
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-2223,1131.012023 to a year ago26,0251.02Last year9,8691.00Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H89: the form has worked out Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.014 on 59007 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
Two or more rivals from its last race have won since. The race was better than it looked at the time.