Threads · placement · H91-the-stable-second-string

H91: the stable second string

Hypotheses: 1 (1 alive)
Depth: 0
Best rung: Promising
Open questions: 0
Last activity: 15 Oct, 23:10

Where it stands: tier N: a negative; best [broad] NEGATIVE A/E 0.949 on 48777 bets (broad NEGATIVE)

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H91: the stable second string PROMISING negative
because The yard runs two or more and this is not its shortest-priced: the stable jockey's choice is not the only one with a chance.
```
n_stable >= 2 AND stable_rank >= 2
```
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.95 on 48,777 bets, by period 0.96 · 0.93 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -9.2%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-2219,6430.96
2023 to a year ago20,8680.93
Last year8,2660.97
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
handicap: A/E 0.95 on 28,237 bets, by period 0.96 · 0.93 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -16.4%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-2211,1600.96
2023 to a year ago12,1890.93
Last year4,8880.97
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
14/1 or shorter: A/E 0.97 on 16,025 bets, by period 0.96 · 0.96 · 1.01. info
Betfair SP return -1.2%. Unstable: periods range 0.96 to 1.01. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-226,2350.96
2023 to a year ago7,0070.96
Last year2,783
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
the yard's other runner is the favourite: A/E 0.95 on 48,777 bets, by period 0.96 · 0.93 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -9.2%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-2219,6430.96
2023 to a year ago20,8680.93
Last year8,266
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
yard good in this kind of race: A/E 0.96 on 5,206 bets, by period 0.94 · 0.97 · 0.99. info
Betfair SP return +3.0%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-221,8270.94
2023 to a year ago2,4640.97
Last year9150.99
Promoted15 Oct, 23:10
H91: the stable second string Discovery → PROMISINGimport: tier N: a negative; best [broad] NEGATIVE A/E 0.949 on 48777 bets (broad NEGATIVE)

Where it started

The yard runs two or more and this is not its shortest-priced: the stable jockey's choice is not the only one with a chance.

H91: the stable second string

Hypotheses

1 (1 alive)

Depth

Best rung

Promising

Open questions

Last activity

15 Oct, 23:10

Where it stands: tier N: a negative; best [broad] NEGATIVE A/E 0.949 on 48777 bets (broad NEGATIVE)

The notebook

Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H91: the stable second string PROMISING negative
because The yard runs two or more and this is not its shortest-priced: the stable jockey's choice is not the only one with a chance.
```
n_stable >= 2 AND stable_rank >= 2
```
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.95 on 48,777 bets, by period 0.96 · 0.93 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -9.2%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-2219,6430.96
2023 to a year ago20,8680.93
Last year8,2660.97
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
handicap: A/E 0.95 on 28,237 bets, by period 0.96 · 0.93 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -16.4%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-2211,1600.96
2023 to a year ago12,1890.93
Last year4,8880.97
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
14/1 or shorter: A/E 0.97 on 16,025 bets, by period 0.96 · 0.96 · 1.01. info
Betfair SP return -1.2%. Unstable: periods range 0.96 to 1.01. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-226,2350.96
2023 to a year ago7,0070.96
Last year2,783
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
the yard's other runner is the favourite: A/E 0.95 on 48,777 bets, by period 0.96 · 0.93 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -9.2%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-2219,6430.96
2023 to a year ago20,8680.93
Last year8,266
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
yard good in this kind of race: A/E 0.96 on 5,206 bets, by period 0.94 · 0.97 · 0.99. info
Betfair SP return +3.0%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On H91: the stable second string
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
2020-221,8270.94
2023 to a year ago2,4640.97
Last year9150.99
Promoted15 Oct, 23:10
H91: the stable second string Discovery → PROMISINGimport: tier N: a negative; best [broad] NEGATIVE A/E 0.949 on 48777 bets (broad NEGATIVE)

Where it started

The yard runs two or more and this is not its shortest-priced: the stable jockey's choice is not the only one with a chance.