IQ00a: control last run has figures

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ00a: control last run has figures KILLED red

   because CONTROL: every jumps runner whose last run has jumping figures. Should be 1.00.

   race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND l_jump_index IS NOT NULL

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.01 on 30,505 bets, by period 1.02 · 1.01. info

   Betfair SP return +2.4%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.01). Zone: all. On IQ00a: control last run has figures

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half15,4391.02

   Later half15,0661.01

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ00a: control last run has figures Discovery → KILLEDimport: control; best [broad] RED A/E 1.012 on 30505 bets