Threads · control · IQ111-control-second-try-at-3m-after-finishing-the-first
IQ111: control second try at 3m after finishing the first
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
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- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
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- Last activity
- 16 Oct, 10:10
Where it stands: IQ111-control-second-try-at-3m-after-finishing-the-first (IQ111: control second try at 3m after finishing the first) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.06 on 3098 bets (periods 1.06 / 1.08 / 1.05); now KILLED.
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ111: control second try at 3m after finishing the first KILLED green
because CONTROL: second chase at 3m+, having finished the first.
race_type = 'Chase' AND distance_yards >= 5280 AND f3_kind IS NOT NULL AND f3_pulled_up = 0 AND f3_fell = 0
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.06 on 3,098 bets, by period 1.06 · 1.08 · 1.05. info
Betfair SP return +17.3%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.03). Zone: all. On IQ111: control second try at 3m after finishing the first
Where it started
CONTROL: second chase at 3m+, having finished the first.