IQ141b: wide early recovered yes

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ141b: wide early recovered yes KILLED amber

   because LOOK: wide early and recovered, and it made up two or more places after the first third.

   (race_type = 'Flat' AND last_early_setback = 1 AND last_recovered = 1 AND last_raced_wide = 1 AND last_slow_start = 0 AND last_position > 1 AND last_beaten_lengths <= 5) AND l_gained_mid IS NOT NULL AND l_gained_mid + l_gained_final >= 2

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.18 on 94 bets, by period 1.29 · 1.06. info

   Betfair SP return +1.7%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.23). Zone: all. On IQ141b: wide early recovered yes

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half411.29

   Later half531.06

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ141b: wide early recovered yes Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.181 on 94 bets