IQ143c: one off jumping error no

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ143c: one off jumping error no PROMISING green

   because LOOK: one-off jumping error in a chase, well beaten, and it averaged in the worse half.

   (race_type = 'Chase' AND remarked_last3 = 3 AND jumping_errors_last3 = 1 AND last_jumping_error = 1 AND (last_position IS NULL OR last_beaten_lengths > 10)) AND s_jump_index_pct_prev IS NOT NULL AND NOT (s_jump_index_pct_prev >= 0.5)

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.88 on 161 bets, by period 1.45 · 2.40. info

   Betfair SP return +88.5%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.95). Zone: all. On IQ143c: one off jumping error no

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half941.45

   Later half672.40

3. Promoted15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ143c: one off jumping error no Discovery → PROMISINGimport: best [broad] GREEN A/E 1.879 on 161 bets

4. Observed16 Oct, 10:10

   IQ143c-one-off-jumping-error-no (IQ143c: one off jumping error no) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.88 on 161 bets (periods 1.45 / 2.40); now PROMISING.

   result0.30waiting for a reasoning passfrom IQ143c-one-off-jumping-error-no