IQ64a: pulled up jumping as usual system, 14 1 or shorter

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ64a: pulled up jumping as usual system, 14 1 or shorter KILLED amber

   because [system, 14-1 or shorter] Jump Index no more than 0.15 below the horse's own earlier average in this code. Whatever stopped it, it was not the jumping: the more worrying case.

   last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND sp_decimal <= 15 AND l_same_code = 1 AND s_jump_index_prev IS NOT NULL AND l_jump_index - s_jump_index_prev >= -0.15

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.30 on 109 bets, by period 1.26 · 1.40. info

   Betfair SP return +50.0%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.14). Zone: all. On IQ64a: pulled up jumping as usual system, 14 1 or shorter

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half691.26

   Later half401.40

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ64a: pulled up jumping as usual system, 14 1 or shorter Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.298 on 109 bets