IQ71: thou shall not pass

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ71: thou shall not pass KILLED red

   because Resisted a late challenge in two or more earlier runs in today's code and has never folded under one. A horse that answers when another gets to it.

   race_type IN ('Flat', 'Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_resist_n >= 2 AND s_folded_n = 0

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.00 on 7,558 bets, by period 0.98 · 1.02. info

   Betfair SP return -4.6%. Unstable: periods range 0.98 to 1.02. Zone: all. On IQ71: thou shall not pass

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half3,1210.98

   Later half4,4371.02

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ71: thou shall not pass Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 1.001 on 7558 bets