TW3: veterans bottom weight

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   TW3: veterans bottom weight KILLED amber

   because Bottom weight in a veterans' handicap chase. Predicted below the market.

   race_type = 'Chase' AND is_handicap = 1 AND lower(race_name) LIKE '%veteran%' AND weight_rank_low = 1

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.14 on 203 bets, by period 0.84 · 1.28. info

   Unstable: periods range 0.84 to 1.28. Zone: all. On TW3: veterans bottom weight

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   2020-22900.84

   2023 to a year ago851.28

   Last year28–

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   TW3: veterans bottom weight Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.141 on 203 bets