VET1: old chasers

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   VET1: old chasers KILLED amber

   because CONTROL: every chaser aged 10 or more.

   race_type = 'Chase' AND age >= 10

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.09 on 2,002 bets, by period 1.13 · 0.91. info

   Betfair SP return +14.0%. Unstable: periods range 0.91 to 1.13. Zone: all. On VET1: old chasers

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half1,5501.13

   Later half4520.91

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   VET1: old chasers Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.086 on 2002 bets