Course winners at the foot of a handicap chase

Hard front-end race on soft ground

Raced on the front end on soft or heavy ground last time, was ridden and then headed or weakened. A hard race that seems to leave a mark.

With it24 bets · 16.7% won · 1.04 v market · 25.5% at SP · 37.0% at Betfair SP

Without528 bets · 18.0% won · 1.13 v market · 10.4% at SP · 30.7% at Betfair SP

Failed comeback after a year off

Failed to finish last time on its first run for a year or more.

With it1 bets · 0.0% won · 0.00 v market · -100.0% at SP · -100.0% at Betfair SP

Without551 bets · 18.0% won · 1.13 v market · 11.3% at SP · 31.2% at Betfair SP

Repeat slow startscontextual

Missed the break in two or more of its last three runs.

With itno selections

Without552 bets · 17.9% won · 1.13 v market · 11.1% at SP · 31.0% at Betfair SP

Eye-catcher last timecontextual

Beaten last time with a visible excuse: finished strongly, travelled well, or met trouble and finished close up. Everyone saw it, so the price already allows for it.

With it41 bets · 17.1% won · 0.83 v market · -36.7% at SP · -32.1% at Betfair SP

Without511 bets · 18.0% won · 1.16 v market · 14.9% at SP · 36.1% at Betfair SP