IQ60b: pulled up has figures all prices

Mechanism and rationale

[all prices] CONTROL: the system's runners whose pulled-up run has jumping figures. Should match the system.

The rule

last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND 1 = 1 AND l_jump_index IS NOT NULL

Reads: last_pulled_up, last_run_style, l_jump_index

Pre-registration

Spec hash (sha256 of the canonical pre-spec)

not designed yet

Frozen

not frozen

The definition can still change.

Broad

last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND 1 = 1 AND l_jump_index IS NOT NULL

Kind

remarks

Origin

research/experiments/raceiq/results.jsonl

Refinements

none

Result (from the archive)

info broad · 15 Oct, 23:10

Bets

1,371

A/E

1.24

winners vs the prices

SP return

-33.3%

level stakes

Betfair SP return

-5.9%

1,367 bets with a BSP

Strike rate 6.7%.

Falsification

No attacks yet. Only promising ideas are attacked.

Sealed holdout (vault)

Not queried. Only a frozen idea can spend its one query against the 2020-25 holdout.

Forward record

No forward record. Shadow tracking starts after the vault and counts only races run after the freeze.

Lineage

No parent and no descendants yet. When an agent mutates, generalises or splits this idea, the new hypotheses appear here.

Agent runs

No agent has worked on this yet.

Timeline

1. IQ60b-pulled-up-has-figures-all prices Discovery → KILLED import: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.238 on 1371 bets

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

2. import result for IQ60b-pulled-up-has-figures-all prices (broad): info

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

3. New idea IQ60b-pulled-up-has-figures-all prices: IQ60b: pulled up has figures all prices (import)

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

Every change is an event with an actor: an agent and its version, an engine, a human, or the importer. Current stage: Killed.