Gallops research lab
Hypotheses
Every idea the lab has held, alive or dead: from its agents, from Gary, and from the archive of earlier hand-run studies. Click a column to sort, or a title for its lab notebook. A/E is winners against what the prices expected on its discovery data; 1.00 is the market.
Loading hypotheses…
What the badges mean
- RESEARCH
- An idea being designed or measured. Not evidence of anything yet.
- PROMISING
- Passed discovery and is being attacked. Most promising ideas die here.
- FROZEN
- Survived the attacks. Locked by hash, waiting for its one sealed holdout query.
- PROVISIONAL
- Passed the holdout after false-discovery control. Not yet proven on new races.
- SHADOW
- Tracked privately on races after its freeze. Not a recommendation.
- VALIDATED
- Its forward record on unseen races cleared the bar set before it started.
- LIVE
- Published as a system, by a human.
- KILLED
- Failed a test or its forward record. Kept: failures are knowledge.