Threads · age-chase · H173-veterans-in-handicap-chases
H173: veterans in handicap chases
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.01 on 5854 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H173: veterans in handicap chases KILLED red
because Eleven-year-olds and older in handicap chases: they jump, they stay, their marks have slipped, and the market marks them down again for the number beside their name.
race_type = 'Chase' AND is_handicap = 1 AND age >= 11
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.01 on 5,854 bets, by period 0.98 · 1.08 · 0.92. info
Betfair SP return -1.7%. Unstable: periods range 0.92 to 1.08. Zone: all. On H173: veterans in handicap chases
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-222,8970.982023 to a year ago2,2321.08Last year7250.92Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H173: veterans in handicap chases Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.01 on 5854 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
Eleven-year-olds and older in handicap chases: they jump, they stay, their marks have slipped, and the market marks them down again for the number beside their name.