Threads · pace-at-the-jumps · IQ08-fast-into-its-obstacles-and-lost-ground
IQ08: fast into its obstacles and lost ground
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: best [broad] RED A/E 1.011 on 608 bets
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ08: fast into its obstacles and lost ground KILLED red
because NEGATIVE: last run top quarter for speed into the obstacles, bottom quarter for ground gained. Its jumping breaks down when it is asked to go quickly.
race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND l_entry_speed_pct >= 0.75 AND l_lgj_pct <= 0.25made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.01 on 608 bets, by period 1.08 · 0.94. info
Betfair SP return -16.9%. Unstable: periods range 0.94 to 1.08. Zone: all. On IQ08: fast into its obstacles and lost ground
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half3251.08Later half2830.94Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Killed15 Oct, 23:10
IQ08: fast into its obstacles and lost ground Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 1.011 on 608 bets
Where it started
NEGATIVE: last run top quarter for speed into the obstacles, bottom quarter for ground gained. Its jumping breaks down when it is asked to go quickly.