Threads · appearance · IQ42-looked-laboured-but-kept-producing
IQ42: looked laboured but kept producing
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: best [broad] RED A/E 0.988 on 13488 bets
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ42: looked laboured but kept producing KILLED red
because Last run: under pressure in the remark, with no mention of travelling well or of a strong finish, yet in the faster half of the finishers over both the middle and the final third, and beaten. A grinder that looks ordinary and keeps going.
race_type IN ('Flat', 'Chase', 'Hurdle') AND last_under_pressure = 1 AND last_travelled_well = 0 AND last_strong_finish = 0 AND l_mid_pct >= 0.5 AND l_late_pct >= 0.5 AND last_position > 1made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.99 on 13,488 bets, by period 0.96 · 1.01. info
Betfair SP return -3.9%. Unstable: periods range 0.96 to 1.01. Zone: all. On IQ42: looked laboured but kept producing
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half6,0230.96Later half7,4651.01Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Killed15 Oct, 23:10
IQ42: looked laboured but kept producing Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 0.988 on 13488 bets
Where it started
Last run: under pressure in the remark, with no mention of travelling well or of a strong finish, yet in the faster half of the finishers over both the middle and the final third, and beaten. A grinder that looks ordinary and keeps going.