Threads · pulled-up-overlay · IQ61a-pulled-up-jumped-well-then-pulled-up-system, 14-1 or shorter
IQ61a: pulled up jumped well then pulled up system, 14 1 or shorter
- Hypotheses
- 1 (1 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Promising
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 16 Oct, 10:10
Where it stands: IQ61a-pulled-up-jumped-well-then-pulled-up-system, 14-1 or shorter (IQ61a: pulled up jumped well then pulled up system, 14 1 or shorter) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.35 on 156 bets (periods 1.10 / 2.08); now PROMISING.
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ61a: pulled up jumped well then pulled up system, 14 1 or shorter PROMISING green
because [system, 14-1 or shorter] Jump Index in the top quarter of pulled-up horses for where it stood in its field (57th percentile or better). It was jumping well, so jumping was not why it stopped.
last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND sp_decimal <= 15 AND l_jump_index_pct >= 0.57made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.35 on 156 bets, by period 1.10 · 2.08. info
Betfair SP return +45.1%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.98). Zone: all. On
Where it started
[system, 14-1 or shorter] Jump Index in the top quarter of pulled-up horses for where it stood in its field (57th percentile or better). It was jumping well, so jumping was not why it stopped.