IQ62b: pulled up jumped worst then pulled up all prices

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ62b: pulled up jumped worst then pulled up all prices KILLED amber

   because [all prices] Jump Index in the bottom quarter of pulled-up horses for where it stood in its field (8th percentile or worse). The jumping fell apart.

   last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND 1 = 1 AND l_jump_index_pct <= 0.08

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.11 on 334 bets, by period 1.18 · 0.92. info

   Betfair SP return -24.5%. Unstable: periods range 0.92 to 1.18. Zone: all. On IQ62b: pulled up jumped worst then pulled up all prices

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half2321.18

   Later half1020.92

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ62b: pulled up jumped worst then pulled up all prices Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.106 on 334 bets