IQ66a: pulled up taken out of its comfort zone system, 14 1 or shorter

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ66a: pulled up taken out of its comfort zone system, 14 1 or shorter KILLED red

   because [system, 14-1 or shorter] Speed into its obstacles, against the field, was higher than in the horse's own earlier runs in this code. A patient horse hurried along.

   last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND sp_decimal <= 15 AND l_same_code = 1 AND s_entry_speed_rel_prev IS NOT NULL AND l_entry_speed_rel > s_entry_speed_rel_prev

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 0.70 on 35 bets. info

   Betfair SP return +50.1%. Zone: all. On IQ66a: pulled up taken out of its comfort zone system, 14 1 or shorter

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half25–

   Later half10–

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ66a: pulled up taken out of its comfort zone system, 14 1 or shorter Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 0.705 on 35 bets