Hypotheses · pulled-up-overlay · IQ66a-pulled-up-taken-out-of-its-comfort-zone-system, 14-1 or shorter
IQ66a: pulled up taken out of its comfort zone system, 14 1 or shorter
best [broad] RED A/E 0.705 on 35 bets
Starts the thread “IQ66a: pulled up taken out of its comfort zone system, 14 1 or shorter” 1 hypothesis
- Proposed
- Designed
- Discovery
- Promising
- Falsification
- Frozen
- Vault
- Provisional
- Shadow
- Validated
- Live
- Source
- Imported from the RaceiQ study
- Made by
- import
- Created
- 15 Oct, 23:10
- Tests logged
- 1
Mechanism and rationale
[system, 14-1 or shorter] Speed into its obstacles, against the field, was higher than in the horse's own earlier runs in this code. A patient horse hurried along.
The rule
last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND sp_decimal <= 15 AND l_same_code = 1 AND s_entry_speed_rel_prev IS NOT NULL AND l_entry_speed_rel > s_entry_speed_rel_prevReads: last_pulled_up, last_run_style, sp_decimal, l_same_code, s_entry_speed_rel_prev, l_entry_speed_rel
Pre-registration
- Spec hash (sha256 of the canonical pre-spec)
- not designed yet
- Frozen
- not frozen
- The definition can still change.
- Broad
last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND sp_decimal <= 15 AND l_same_code = 1 AND s_entry_speed_rel_prev IS NOT NULL AND l_entry_speed_rel > s_entry_speed_rel_prev
- Kind
remarks
- Origin
research/experiments/raceiq/results.jsonl
- Refinements
none
Result (from the archive)
info broad · 15 Oct, 23:10
- Bets
- 35
- A/E
- 0.70
- winners vs the prices
- SP return
- +2.9%
- level stakes
- Betfair SP return
- +50.1%
- 35 bets with a BSP
Strike rate 8.6%.
By period
Falsification
No attacks yet. Only promising ideas are attacked.
Sealed holdout (vault)
Not queried. Only a frozen idea can spend its one query against the 2020-25 holdout.
Forward record
No forward record. Shadow tracking starts after the vault and counts only races run after the freeze.
Lineage
No parent and no descendants yet. When an agent mutates, generalises or splits this idea, the new hypotheses appear here.
Agent runs
No agent has worked on this yet.
Timeline
IQ66a-pulled-up-taken-out-of-its-comfort-zone-system, 14-1 or shorter Discovery → KILLED import: best [broad] RED A/E 0.705 on 35 bets
· importer
import result for IQ66a-pulled-up-taken-out-of-its-comfort-zone-system, 14-1 or shorter (broad): info
· importer
New idea IQ66a-pulled-up-taken-out-of-its-comfort-zone-system, 14-1 or shorter: IQ66a: pulled up taken out of its comfort zone system, 14 1 or shorter (import)
· importer
Every change is an event with an actor: an agent and its version, an engine, a human, or the importer. Current stage: Killed.