Threads · pressure · IQ72-folds-when-challenged

IQ72: folds when challenged

Hypotheses: 1 (0 alive)
Depth: 0
Best rung: Discovery
Open questions: 0
Last activity: 15 Oct, 23:10

Where it stands: best [broad] RED A/E 1.014 on 4212 bets

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ72: folds when challenged KILLED red
because NEGATIVE: folded under a late challenge in two or more earlier runs in today's code and has never resisted one. Travels and leads, and gives way when eyeballed.
```
race_type IN ('Flat', 'Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_folded_n >= 2 AND s_resist_n = 0
```
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.01 on 4,212 bets, by period 1.08 · 0.96. info
Betfair SP return -1.4%. Unstable: periods range 0.96 to 1.08. Zone: all. On IQ72: folds when challenged
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half1,6661.08
Later half2,5460.96
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Killed15 Oct, 23:10
IQ72: folds when challenged Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 1.014 on 4212 bets

Where it started

NEGATIVE: folded under a late challenge in two or more earlier runs in today's code and has never resisted one. Travels and leads, and gives way when eyeballed.

Threads · pressure · IQ72-folds-when-challenged

IQ72: folds when challenged

Hypotheses: 1 (0 alive)
Depth: 0
Best rung: Discovery
Open questions: 0
Last activity: 15 Oct, 23:10

Where it stands: best [broad] RED A/E 1.014 on 4212 bets

The notebook

Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ72: folds when challenged KILLED red
because NEGATIVE: folded under a late challenge in two or more earlier runs in today's code and has never resisted one. Travels and leads, and gives way when eyeballed.
```
race_type IN ('Flat', 'Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_folded_n >= 2 AND s_resist_n = 0
```
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.01 on 4,212 bets, by period 1.08 · 0.96. info
Betfair SP return -1.4%. Unstable: periods range 0.96 to 1.08. Zone: all. On IQ72: folds when challenged
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half1,6661.08
Later half2,5460.96
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Killed15 Oct, 23:10
IQ72: folds when challenged Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 1.014 on 4212 bets

Where it started

NEGATIVE: folded under a late challenge in two or more earlier runs in today's code and has never resisted one. Travels and leads, and gives way when eyeballed.