IQ74: pressure tested winner

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ74: pressure tested winner KILLED red

   because Won last time after resisting a late challenge. The same 1 in the form book as any other winner, with something proved that the others have not.

   race_type IN ('Flat', 'Chase', 'Hurdle') AND last_position = 1 AND l_resist = 1 AND l_pressed = 1

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.01 on 8,026 bets, by period 1.02 · 1.01. info

   Betfair SP return +1.4%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.01). Zone: all. On IQ74: pressure tested winner

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half4,1551.02

   Later half3,8711.01

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ74: pressure tested winner Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 1.015 on 8026 bets