IQ94: folded when challenged from the remarks

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ94: folded when challenged from the remarks KILLED red

   because NEGATIVE: jumps; has folded when headed or challenged in an earlier jumps run and has never answered one.

   race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND t_fold_n >= 1 AND t_resist_n = 0

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 0.97 on 1,538 bets, by period 0.98 · 0.97. info

   Betfair SP return -0.4%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ94: folded when challenged from the remarks

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half8600.98

   Later half6780.97

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ94: folded when challenged from the remarks Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 0.972 on 1538 bets