The Racing Results

Gallops research lab

Hypotheses

Every idea the lab has held, alive or dead: from its agents, from Gary, and from the archive of earlier hand-run studies. Click a column to sort, or a title for its lab notebook. A/E is winners against what the prices expected on its discovery data; 1.00 is the market.

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What the badges mean
RESEARCH
An idea being designed or measured. Not evidence of anything yet.
PROMISING
Passed discovery and is being attacked. Most promising ideas die here.
FROZEN
Survived the attacks. Locked by hash, waiting for its one sealed holdout query.
PROVISIONAL
Passed the holdout after false-discovery control. Not yet proven on new races.
SHADOW
Tracked privately on races after its freeze. Not a recommendation.
VALIDATED
Its forward record on unseen races cleared the bar set before it started.
LIVE
Published as a system, by a human.
KILLED
Failed a test or its forward record. Kept: failures are knowledge.